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There are a lot of good reasons for believing the coastal plain of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge contains a lot of oil.
One of the best is that the man in charge of the only exploratory well drilled there led the fight to open ANWR for many years. Roger Herrera was a senior executive in exploration at BP when the company drilled KIC-1, a stratigraphic test drilled not to find oil but to get information on rock structures, in 1986.
BP and its partners never disclosed their findings from the well, but Roger’s enthusiasm for opening the ANWR coastal plain to oil exploration convinced me and others that the prospects for finding something big are excellent. Roger retired shortly after KIC-1 was drilled and became a leader of Arctic Power, the civic group that campaigned to open ANWR for several decades.